The May 2015 General Election campaign could be won or lost in the suburbs.
Labour’s London election campaign chief, Sadiq Khan, has detailed the marginal suburban seats which Labour will target this May.Embed from Getty Images
Mr. Khan, who is also Labour’s Shadow London Minister, put on record Labour’s targets in a speech to the London Labour Conference nearly two years ago:
There shouldn’t be any no go areas for us in London. Let’s remember that since 1997, we’ve lost 400,000 votes in London – a quarter of our total. So, our priority must be in reaching out to those lost voters.
So I serve notice on the Tory MPs representing the decent people living in Hendon, Harrow East, Brentford & Isleworth, Battersea, Ealing and Enfield North that Labour is determined to win back those seats.
And I say to the people of Ilford North, Croydon Central and Finchley & Golders Green we are going to earn your trust and confidence again.
The six suburban boroughs of Hendon, Harrow East, Brentford & Isleworth, Battersea, Ealing and Enfield North are currently Conservative seats.
This strategy marks a shift in Labour election campaigns in the capital.
In the past the party traditionally picked up more Inner London seats than the Conservatives.Embed from Getty Images
Figures from the 2011 census suggest that the suburbs are moving away from the stereotypes of predominantly white and Conservative-voting neighbourhoods.
The proportion of white residents in Outer London fell from 74% in 2001 to 61% in 2011 and is predicted to fall to 54% by 2021.
London’s suburbs are also becoming less affluent.
A recent London School of Economics report showed that the recession has hit Outer London harder than Inner London.
This trend follows the current inversion of London’s population between the inner and outer-city.
As the map below shows, it follows the European model of the inner city housing becoming the most affluent.
This reversed the traditional Anglo-American stereotype of ‘inner-city’ representing deprivation, slums, and crime.
Categories: Politics- Parliamentary